Viborg 2-1 Lyngby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
19%
4.13
X/2
8%
9.48
X/X
10%
5.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.3
2/2
9%
6.91
2/X
9%
14.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyngby EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -18%
1.61/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.75
-7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
20.8 Crosses 17.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lyngby
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 1.44
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
392 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 2-0 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
28.07.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-2 HT 1-2 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
07.10.2022 Lyngby Lyngby 1-1 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
28.08.2022 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
11.03.2017 Lyngby Lyngby 1-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
25.09.2016 Viborg Viborg 0-1 HT 0-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
2-1
AWAY Lyngby
0.73 xG 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 10
419 Passes 337
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viborg vs Lyngby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg edged past Lyngby 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Viborg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Viborg had 53% of the ball to Lyngby's 47%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.73 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyngby led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Viborg and 1.33 for Lyngby.

What was the final score of Viborg vs Lyngby?

Viborg 2-1 Lyngby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs Lyngby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Viborg 51%, draw 26%, Lyngby 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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