Elazığspor 4-0 Efeler 09 Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 30% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Efeler 09 Spor EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elazığspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Efeler 09 Spor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.05.2024 Efeler 09 Spor 0-3 HT 0-1 Elazığspor Elazığspor S3P
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elazığspor
4-0
AWAY Efeler 09 Spor
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Elazığspor vs Efeler 09 Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elazığspor ran out comfortable winners over Efeler 09 Spor 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elazığspor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Elazığspor had 62% of the ball to Efeler 09 Spor's 38%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of Elazığspor vs Efeler 09 Spor?

Elazığspor 4-0 Efeler 09 Spor in the Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elazığspor vs Efeler 09 Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elazığspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Elazığspor 43%, draw 22%, Efeler 09 Spor 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elazığspor), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elazığspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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