Erbaaspor vs Belediye Kütahyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erbaaspor v Belediye Kütahyaspor — Team-Based Signals
Erbaaspor vs Belediye Kütahyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Erbaaspor
S3-3
1-4
HT 0-2
Belediye Kütahyaspor
S3-1
3-1
HT 1-1
Erbaaspor
S3-1
Erbaaspor 1-0 Belediye Kütahyaspor — Actual Match Statistics
Erbaaspor nicked a narrow win over Belediye Kütahyaspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Erbaaspor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Erbaaspor had 61% of the ball to Belediye Kütahyaspor's 39%, shots finished 15-4.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Belediye Kütahyaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Erbaaspor and 2.00 for Belediye Kütahyaspor.
What was the final score of Erbaaspor vs Belediye Kütahyaspor?
Erbaaspor 1-0 Belediye Kütahyaspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erbaaspor vs Belediye Kütahyaspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Erbaaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Erbaaspor 46%, draw 28%, Belediye Kütahyaspor 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbaaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.