Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 1-0 52 Orduspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.48
2-3 Goals
48%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
20%
4.79
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.79 — our 20% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+9.1pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY 52 Orduspor FK EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +144%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
1W-0D-1L
AWAY 52 Orduspor FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.05.2024 52 Orduspor FK 52 Orduspor FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. S3P
25.02.2024 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 2-1 HT 0-0 52 Orduspor FK 52 Orduspor FK S3-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
1-0
AWAY 52 Orduspor FK
63% Ball Possession 37%
24 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs 52 Orduspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. edged past 52 Orduspor FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. had 63% of the ball to 52 Orduspor FK's 37%, shots finished 24-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. and 1.00 for 52 Orduspor FK.

What was the final score of Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs 52 Orduspor FK?

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 1-0 52 Orduspor FK in the Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs 52 Orduspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 43%, draw 27%, 52 Orduspor FK 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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