Naftan Novopolotsk 1-3 Neman Grodno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 20 May 2025

📅20/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.74
Over
41%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.24
No
59%
1.57
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.77
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
20%
3.87
6+
9%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.77 — our 33% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Neman Grodno The Market 69%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.11/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.59
+38% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Neman Grodno
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.09.2024 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
16.03.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-1 HT 1-1 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
02.12.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 6-1 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
07.07.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-3 HT 0-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
18.10.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 1-2 HT 1-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
17.06.2015 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 3-1 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
1-3
AWAY Neman Grodno
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Naftan Novopolotsk vs Neman Grodno
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Neman Grodno had too much for Naftan Novopolotsk 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Neman Grodno saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Naftan Novopolotsk against 2.67 for Neman Grodno.

Naftan Novopolotsk vs Neman Grodno Result & Final Score

Naftan Novopolotsk 1-3 Neman Grodno in the Belarus - Premier League on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Naftan Novopolotsk vs Neman Grodno Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Naftan Novopolotsk 21%, draw 26%, Neman Grodno 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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