Septemvri Sofia 0-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 20 May 2025

📅20/05/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
7.18
Draw
33%
2.02
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
12%
+20.8pp
33%
Draw
48%
-14.3pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 42%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.95/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.59
+35% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.12.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 HT 1-1 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
12.08.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
0-2
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 saw off Septemvri Sofia 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 48% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 52%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 1.00 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Septemvri Sofia 0-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Septemvri Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 33%, draw 33%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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