LDU Quito vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
LDU Quito v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
LDU Quito vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
4-2
HT 1-2
Libertad
EKV1
1-0
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
CON CSA
1-0
HT 0-0
Libertad
CON CSA
LDU Quito 1-1 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
LDU Quito and Libertad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
This one beat our numbers. LDU Quito carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, LDU Quito had 58% of the ball to Libertad's 42%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.25 to 0.83.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for LDU Quito and 0.83 for Libertad.
What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Libertad?
LDU Quito 1-1 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 55%, draw 25%, Libertad 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS No went the other way.