Egersunds 1-3 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 20 May 2025

Egersunds
1-3 HT 1-2
Sarpsborg 08
📅20/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✓
Norway - NM Cup – 2025

Egersunds vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
14%
8.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.34
1/2
6%
21.35
1/X EV+ ✗
8%
13.5
X/1
10%
7.97
X/2
17%
4.97
X/X
10%
5.72
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
19%
2.58
2/X
8%
12.7
Value flag · 1/X at 13.5 — our 8% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Egersunds v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egersunds EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 52%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.08/2.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/1.76
-33% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Egersunds vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 beat Egersunds 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sarpsborg 08 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Egersunds vs Sarpsborg 08?

Egersunds 1-3 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - NM Cup on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egersunds vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 32%, draw 26%, Sarpsborg 08 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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