Kongsvinger 2-3 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 20 May 2025

Kongsvinger
2-3 HT 1-1
Rosenborg
📅20/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - NM Cup – 2025

Kongsvinger vs Rosenborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.24
1/2
6%
22.0
1/X
10%
13.8
X/1
8%
7.63
X/2
19%
4.91
X/X
10%
5.52
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
20%
2.67
2/X
10%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.7pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kongsvinger v Rosenborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 51%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.70/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.29
+14% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Kongsvinger vs Rosenborg Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Rosenborg
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 7
The Meetings
20.11.2016 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-4 HT 0-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOK
31.10.2010 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
06.06.2010 Rosenborg Rosenborg 4-0 HT 3-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR

Kongsvinger 2-3 Rosenborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kongsvinger
2-3
AWAY Rosenborg
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg squeezed past Kongsvinger 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kongsvinger had 45% of the ball to Rosenborg's 55%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rosenborg led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kongsvinger and 2.67 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs Rosenborg?

Kongsvinger 2-3 Rosenborg in the Norway - NM Cup on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 25%, draw 30%, Rosenborg 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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