ES Setif 1-0 MC Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.9pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Setif EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Alger EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.35/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.84
+33% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
201 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Setif
1W-1D-4L
AWAY MC Alger
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2025 MC Alger MC Alger 2-0 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
19.05.2025 MC Alger MC Alger 4-1 HT 1-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
02.03.2024 ES Setif ES Setif 1-0 HT 1-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
06.10.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 5-3 HT 2-2 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
10.07.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 1-1 HT 0-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
11.12.2022 MC Alger MC Alger 1-0 HT 1-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Setif
1-0
AWAY MC Alger
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ES Setif vs MC Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Setif squeezed past MC Alger 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; ES Setif found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, ES Setif had 37% of the ball to MC Alger's 63%, shots finished 5-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Alger led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ES Setif and 2.17 for MC Alger.

What was the final score of ES Setif vs MC Alger?

ES Setif 1-0 MC Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Setif vs MC Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Setif win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split ES Setif 37%, draw 33%, MC Alger 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Setif), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Setif) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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20 May 2026
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