IFK Kumla 3-2 Lidköpings FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+6.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.2pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lidköpings FK EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -17%
2.33/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.60
+31% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Kumla
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Lidköpings FK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.10.2022 IFK Kumla 3-1 HT 1-1 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
07.09.2021 IFK Kumla 2-2 HT 1-2 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
03.07.2021 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Kumla vs Lidköpings FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Kumla nicked a narrow win over Lidköpings FK 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had IFK Kumla as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, IFK Kumla had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for IFK Kumla and 1.00 for Lidköpings FK.

What was the final score of IFK Kumla vs Lidköpings FK?

IFK Kumla 3-2 Lidköpings FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Kumla vs Lidköpings FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Kumla win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IFK Kumla 44%, draw 24%, Lidköpings FK 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Kumla), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IFK Kumla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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