Melbourne Knights 1-4 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Jun 2025

📅20/06/2025 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
0.46/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.42
-22% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses 16.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Knights
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Green Gully
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.77 xG 0.65
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
281 Passes 386
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.03.2025 Green Gully Green Gully 3-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
18.08.2024 Green Gully Green Gully 0-3 HT 0-2 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
10.05.2024 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 3-3 HT 1-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
21.07.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 2-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
24.04.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 3-2 HT 2-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
05.08.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-0 HT 2-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Melbourne Knights vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Green Gully ran out comfortable winners over Melbourne Knights 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Green Gully as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Knights had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Melbourne Knights and 1.67 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of Melbourne Knights vs Green Gully?

Melbourne Knights 1-4 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Knights vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated an Green Gully win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Knights 31%, draw 21%, Green Gully 48%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Green Gully), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Green Gully) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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