Green Gully 0-3 Melbourne Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Gully EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.51/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/1.32
-6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Gully
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Melbourne Knights
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.65 xG 1.77
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
386 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2024 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 3-3 HT 1-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
21.07.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 2-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
24.04.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 3-2 HT 2-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
05.08.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-0 HT 2-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
23.04.2021 Green Gully Green Gully 2-2 HT 1-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
17.08.2014 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 4-3 HT 4-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Green Gully vs Melbourne Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Knights cruised past Green Gully 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne Knights as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Knights led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Green Gully and 2.33 for Melbourne Knights.

What was the final score of Green Gully vs Melbourne Knights?

Green Gully 0-3 Melbourne Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Gully vs Melbourne Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Green Gully 32%, draw 25%, Melbourne Knights 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Knights), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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