Smorgon 0-4 Isloch Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 20 Jun 2025

📅20/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
56%
Away Win
56%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smorgon EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 60%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.90/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.73
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smorgon
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Isloch Minsk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 3-2 HT 2-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
16.05.2024 Smorgon Smorgon 1-1 HT 0-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
19.08.2023 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
07.04.2023 Smorgon Smorgon 0-4 HT 0-3 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
25.07.2021 Smorgon Smorgon 1-2 HT 0-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
19.03.2021 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smorgon
0-4
AWAY Isloch Minsk
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Smorgon vs Isloch Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isloch Minsk ran out comfortable winners over Smorgon 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Isloch Minsk as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Smorgon had 47% of the ball to Isloch Minsk's 53%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isloch Minsk led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Smorgon and 2.17 for Isloch Minsk.

What was the final score of Smorgon vs Isloch Minsk?

Smorgon 0-4 Isloch Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 20/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smorgon vs Isloch Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Isloch Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 22%, draw 22%, Isloch Minsk 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isloch Minsk), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Isloch Minsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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