Liaoning Shenyang 1-1 Shanghai Jiading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.53
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.8
Over 2.5
37%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
3.09
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 41% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
61%
-15.9pp
31%
Draw
23%
+8.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.4pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 19%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.36/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.02
-27% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 71%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
36.7 Crosses 17.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.73 xG 1.28
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
189 Passes 343
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 13
8 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.03.2024 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 1-0 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
09.10.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 1-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
18.06.2023 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 1-1 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
26.06.2022 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 3-1 HT 2-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
09.06.2022 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 1-0 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
1-1
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
1.30 xG 0.73
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
490 Passes 193
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Shanghai Jiading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang and Shanghai Jiading shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Liaoning Shenyang at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Liaoning Shenyang had 67% of the ball to Shanghai Jiading's 33%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.30 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shanghai Jiading led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Liaoning Shenyang and 1.00 for Shanghai Jiading.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Shanghai Jiading?

Liaoning Shenyang 1-1 Shanghai Jiading in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Shanghai Jiading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 45%, draw 31%, Shanghai Jiading 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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