Shenzhen Juniors 2-2 Hainan Star — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.22
Draw
25%
5.71
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.23
Over 2.5
44%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
77%
-19.4pp
25%
Draw
14%
+10.6pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen Juniors EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / -22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.5
Crosses 3.5
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen Juniors
2-2
AWAY Hainan Star
1.74 xG 1.14
77% Ball Possession 23%
20 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
523 Passes 104
87% Pass Accuracy 58%
32 Box Touches 9
41 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shenzhen Juniors vs Hainan Star
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen Juniors and Hainan Star couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Shenzhen Juniors carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shenzhen Juniors had 77% of the ball to Hainan Star's 23%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.74 to 1.14.

What was the final score of Shenzhen Juniors vs Hainan Star?

Shenzhen Juniors 2-2 Hainan Star in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen Juniors vs Hainan Star?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shenzhen Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen Juniors 58%, draw 25%, Hainan Star 17%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shenzhen Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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