Bayreuth 2-0 Buchbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Buchbach EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
2.36/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.95
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayreuth
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Buchbach
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
30.03.2024 Bayreuth Bayreuth 0-2 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
15.09.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
21.05.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 5-2 HT 3-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
23.10.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-1 HT 1-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
23.11.2019 Buchbach Buchbach 3-1 HT 2-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Buchbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayreuth saw off Buchbach 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayreuth as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Buchbach led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bayreuth and 2.20 for Buchbach.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Buchbach?

Bayreuth 2-0 Buchbach in the Germany - Regional League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Buchbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 56%, draw 25%, Buchbach 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayreuth) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✗ Over 2.5
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