Illertissen 5-0 Vilzing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilzing EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.97/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.91
+8% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illertissen
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Vilzing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1 Corners 4
16.03.2024 Vilzing Vilzing 1-2 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
01.09.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 3-2 HT 1-2 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Vilzing Vilzing 1-1 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illertissen
5-0
AWAY Vilzing
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Vilzing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen ran out comfortable winners over Vilzing 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Illertissen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Illertissen had 49% of the ball to Vilzing's 51%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Illertissen had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Illertissen and 1.33 for Vilzing.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Vilzing?

Illertissen 5-0 Vilzing in the Germany - Regional League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Vilzing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 43%, draw 24%, Vilzing 32%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illertissen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Illertissen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
20 Jul 2024
15:00 Türkgücü München vs Würzburger Kickers Analysis →
15:00 Greuther Fürth II vs Augsburg II Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Bamberg vs Hankofen-Hailing Analysis →
15:00 Bayreuth vs Buchbach Analysis →