Vilzing 1-2 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
43%
+9.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.5pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilzing EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 34%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
2.21/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.49
+30% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilzing
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Illertissen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
4 Corners 1
01.09.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 3-2 HT 1-2 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Vilzing Vilzing 1-1 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Vilzing vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen edged past Vilzing 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vilzing at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Illertissen led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vilzing and 2.00 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Vilzing vs Illertissen?

Vilzing 1-2 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilzing vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vilzing win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Vilzing 52%, draw 22%, Illertissen 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vilzing) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vilzing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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