Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 FC Gifu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.64/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.04
+16% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Gifu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.06.2024 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-5 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
25.05.2024 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-0 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JPK
08.10.2023 FC Gifu FC Gifu 2-1 HT 2-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
11.06.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
23.10.2022 FC Gifu FC Gifu 2-1 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
27.03.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
2-1
AWAY FC Gifu
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs FC Gifu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azul Claro Numazu squeezed past FC Gifu 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Azul Claro Numazu as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 52% of the ball to FC Gifu's 48%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Gifu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Azul Claro Numazu and 1.00 for FC Gifu.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs FC Gifu?

Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 FC Gifu in the Japan - J3 League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs FC Gifu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 43%, draw 27%, FC Gifu 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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