Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
0.71/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.61
-41% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
05.11.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
09.04.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-4 HT 1-2 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
21.08.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
04.05.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
26.09.2021 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
0-0
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu and Matsumoto Yamaga fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 45% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 55%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 1.50 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 36%, draw 27%, Matsumoto Yamaga 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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