Matsumoto Yamaga vs Giravanz Kitakyushu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Matsumoto Yamaga v Giravanz Kitakyushu — Team-Based Signals
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Giravanz Kitakyushu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
JAP3
2-4
HT 1-2
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP3
0-1
HT 0-0
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP3
0-0
HT 0-0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
JAP3
2-1
HT 0-1
Giravanz Kitakyushu
JAP2
1-2
HT 0-1
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP2
Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Actual Match Statistics
Matsumoto Yamaga and Giravanz Kitakyushu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Matsumoto Yamaga at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 37% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 63%, shots finished 9-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 0.67 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.
What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?
Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 44%, draw 26%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga), BTTS No went the other way.