Imabari 1-2 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imabari EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.48/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.23
+6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Imabari
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fukushima United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-1 HT 0-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
05.03.2023 Imabari Imabari 1-0 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
30.07.2022 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-1 HT 1-1 Imabari Imabari JAP3
13.03.2022 Imabari Imabari 0-1 HT 0-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
07.11.2021 Imabari Imabari 3-2 HT 1-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
11.07.2021 Fukushima United Fukushima United 4-1 HT 2-1 Imabari Imabari JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imabari
1-2
AWAY Fukushima United
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Imabari vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fukushima United nicked a narrow win over Imabari 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Fukushima United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Imabari had 47% of the ball to Fukushima United's 53%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Imabari had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Imabari and 1.33 for Fukushima United.

What was the final score of Imabari vs Fukushima United?

Imabari 1-2 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imabari vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Imabari 38%, draw 27%, Fukushima United 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Imabari) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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