Nara Club 2-1 FC Gifu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.25/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.99
-5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
2W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Gifu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
22.10.2023 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-3 HT 0-2 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
09.07.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
2-1
AWAY FC Gifu
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs FC Gifu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club edged past FC Gifu 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Nara Club found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nara Club had 44% of the ball to FC Gifu's 56%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nara Club had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nara Club and 0.50 for FC Gifu.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs FC Gifu?

Nara Club 2-1 FC Gifu in the Japan - J3 League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs FC Gifu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 36%, draw 31%, FC Gifu 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nara Club) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nara Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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