Kataller Toyama 2-0 Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.1pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Osaka EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.60/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.05
+23% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Osaka
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.09.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 2-1 HT 2-1 Osaka Osaka JAP3
01.04.2023 Osaka Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
2-0
AWAY Osaka
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama got the better of Osaka 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Kataller Toyama found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 54% of the ball to Osaka's 46%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kataller Toyama had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kataller Toyama and 0.50 for Osaka.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Osaka?

Kataller Toyama 2-0 Osaka in the Japan - J3 League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 39%, draw 28%, Osaka 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kataller Toyama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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