Ryukyu 2-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+9.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
0.98/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.40
-31% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
24.06.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-3 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
2-1
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu edged past Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Ryukyu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ryukyu had 62% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 38%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ryukyu and 1.50 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Ryukyu 2-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ryukyu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 38%, draw 25%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ryukyu), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ryukyu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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