Fukushima United 3-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.54/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.34
+8% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fukushima United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-2 HT 1-2 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
26.08.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
19.03.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
09.10.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 4-1 HT 3-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
29.05.2022 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-0 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
24.10.2021 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fukushima United
3-0
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fukushima United vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fukushima United ran out comfortable winners over Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fukushima United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fukushima United had 58% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 42%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fukushima United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fukushima United and 1.17 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

What was the final score of Fukushima United vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Fukushima United 3-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fukushima United vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fukushima United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fukushima United 41%, draw 26%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fukushima United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fukushima United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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