Guanacasteca 0-3 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.9pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
1.30/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.41
+0% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY San Carlos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
18.04.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-1 HT 0-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
11.02.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 1-1 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
09.10.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
06.08.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
29.04.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
26.02.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-0 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos ran out comfortable winners over Guanacasteca 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 22% / 41% — and on the day San Carlos made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guanacasteca and 0.67 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs San Carlos?

Guanacasteca 0-3 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 36%, draw 22%, San Carlos 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Carlos), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Carlos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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