Spjelkavik 2-1 Funnefoss / Vormsund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
17%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.59
Over Pick
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
38%
4-5
30%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.6pp
30%
Draw
20%
+10.4pp
17%
Away Win
22%
-4.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spjelkavik EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Funnefoss / Vormsund EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
3.09/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.30
+20% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +85%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spjelkavik
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Funnefoss / Vormsund
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
13.08.2023 Funnefoss / Vormsund Funnefoss / Vormsund 2-2 HT 1-1 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik NOR4
13.05.2023 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik 0-4 HT 0-2 Funnefoss / Vormsund Funnefoss / Vormsund NOR4
POST-MATCH Spjelkavik vs Funnefoss / Vormsund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spjelkavik edged past Funnefoss / Vormsund 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Spjelkavik as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Funnefoss / Vormsund led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spjelkavik and 3.00 for Funnefoss / Vormsund.

What was the final score of Spjelkavik vs Funnefoss / Vormsund?

Spjelkavik 2-1 Funnefoss / Vormsund in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spjelkavik vs Funnefoss / Vormsund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spjelkavik win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Spjelkavik 53%, draw 30%, Funnefoss / Vormsund 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spjelkavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spjelkavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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