Katowice 1-2 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 27% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.83
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
10%
5.63
X/2
13%
5.47
X/X
14%
4.44
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
17%
3.68
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katowice EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +55%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
Crosses 18.9
Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katowice
1-2
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.27 xG 1.52
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
314 Passes 282
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 42
30 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Katowice vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom nicked a narrow win over Katowice 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Radomiak Radom made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Katowice had 52% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 48%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.27 to 1.52.

What was the final score of Katowice vs Radomiak Radom?

Katowice 1-2 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katowice vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Katowice 40%, draw 25%, Radomiak Radom 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Katowice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katowice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
20 Jul 2024
18:30 Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce Analysis →
21:15 Legia Varşova vs Zaglebie Lubin Analysis →