Legia Varşova 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.1
X/1
17%
3.8
X/2
9%
9.78
X/X
9%
5.65
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
13%
7.57
2/X
9%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.86/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.75
+10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.4 Crosses 14.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.89 xG 0.79
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
390 Passes 323
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-1 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
03.12.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-3 HT 0-2 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
04.02.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
23.07.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
04.02.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-3 HT 0-2 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
15.12.2021 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 4-0 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
2-0
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.49 xG 0.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
368 Passes 272
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova beat Zaglebie Lubin 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 56% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 44%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.49 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Legia Varşova and 0.50 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Legia Varşova 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 47%, draw 25%, Zaglebie Lubin 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Over 2.5
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