Mlada Boleslav 3-3 Slovan Liberec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.9
Over
46%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.64
No
48%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.29
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
22%
3.33
6+
11%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.29 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Liberec The Market 38%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.17 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.91
1.34 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.88
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
18.6 Crosses 19.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Slovan Liberec
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
348 Passes 209
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 3-1 HT 2-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
05.12.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
29.06.2024 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-1 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav HAZ
25.11.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
01.11.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEKK
30.07.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 0-2 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3-3
AWAY Slovan Liberec
0.88 xG 1.71
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
290 Passes 161
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Mlada Boleslav vs Slovan Liberec
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mlada Boleslav and Slovan Liberec couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 52%. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.64, about 61%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 62% of the ball to Slovan Liberec's 38%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.88 to 1.71.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Liberec led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.33 for Slovan Liberec.

Mlada Boleslav vs Slovan Liberec Result & Final Score

Mlada Boleslav 3-3 Slovan Liberec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mlada Boleslav vs Slovan Liberec Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 33%, draw 30%, Slovan Liberec 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Slovan Liberec), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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