Audax Italiano 1-1 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.6
Over 2.5
52%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-11.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+11.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.44/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.42
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
19.4 Crosses 17.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audax Italiano
2W-2D-2L
AWAY U. Catolica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.45
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
177 Passes 354
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2025 U. Catolica 3-1 HT 2-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
18.08.2024 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-1 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
18.03.2024 U. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
06.08.2023 U. Catolica 0-2 HT 0-2 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
19.02.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-2 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
01.11.2022 U. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audax Italiano
1-1
AWAY U. Catolica
1.26 xG 0.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
236 Passes 227
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Audax Italiano vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano and U. Catolica shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Audax Italiano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Audax Italiano had 50% of the ball to U. Catolica's 50%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.26 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Audax Italiano and 1.00 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Audax Italiano vs U. Catolica?

Audax Italiano 1-1 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audax Italiano vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audax Italiano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Audax Italiano 41%, draw 27%, U. Catolica 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Audax Italiano), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Audax Italiano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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