Bolivar 1-0 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-13.8pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.4pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 11%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
2.11/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.85
+18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 71%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
21.3 Crosses 13.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.04 xG 1.06
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
398 Passes 123
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.12.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-4 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
16.09.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 2-0 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
01.04.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 4-2 HT 1-2 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
22.02.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 0-2 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
30.07.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-1 HT 1-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
27.02.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 4-0 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
1-0
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.30 xG 0.65
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
353 Passes 143
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar edged past Oriente Petrolero 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bolivar had 67% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 33%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.30 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Bolivar and 0.67 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Oriente Petrolero?

Bolivar 1-0 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 66%, draw 19%, Oriente Petrolero 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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