Universitario de Vinto 4-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 26%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.27/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.80
-28% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
18.9 Crosses 9.9
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.27 xG 1.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
332 Passes 302
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-1 HT 2-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
07.08.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-1 HT 0-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
4-0
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.38 xG 0.54
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
399 Passes 244
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 7
9 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto cruised past Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitario de Vinto as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 59% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 41%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.38 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gualberto Villarroel SJ led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 2.50 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Universitario de Vinto 4-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 50%, draw 22%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario de Vinto), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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