FC Fredericia 2-3 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
35%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
5.38
1/2
7%
22.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
14%
7.88
X/2
10%
4.99
X/X
9%
5.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
32.5
2/2
19%
2.64
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.5 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
27%
+14.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
47%
-11.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
Crosses 17.2
Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
2-3
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.48 xG 1.05
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
314 Passes 579
80% Pass Accuracy 91%
27 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Fredericia vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland squeezed past FC Fredericia 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Fredericia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Fredericia had 39% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 61%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 1.48 to 1.05 — the balance of chances actually favoured FC Fredericia.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs FC Nordsjaelland?

FC Fredericia 2-3 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fredericia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 41%, draw 23%, FC Nordsjaelland 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Fredericia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Fredericia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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