Midtjylland 3-3 Odense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 20 Jul 2025

Midtjylland
3-3 HT 2-2
Odense
📅20/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2025/2026

Midtjylland vs Odense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.17
2-3 Goals
41%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
7.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.85
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
14%
4.24
X/2
12%
12.2
X/X
8%
6.89
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.75
2/2
10%
9.11
2/X
8%
17.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.75 — our 11% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-12.6pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+10.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Midtjylland v Odense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Odense EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.99/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.82
+3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
21.4 Crosses 14.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Midtjylland vs Odense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Odense
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.35 xG 1.19
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 Passes 367
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.10.2023 Odense Odense 1-2 HT 1-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
24.09.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-1 HT 0-0 Odense Odense DAN
03.06.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 4-2 HT 2-1 Odense Odense DAN
31.03.2023 Odense Odense 1-3 HT 1-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
31.10.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-2 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAN
29.07.2022 Odense Odense 1-5 HT 1-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN

Midtjylland 3-3 Odense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
3-3
AWAY Odense
2.50 xG 2.81
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
324 Passes 215
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Odense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland and Odense shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Midtjylland at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Midtjylland had 57% of the ball to Odense's 43%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.50 to 2.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Midtjylland and 1.33 for Odense.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Odense?

Midtjylland 3-3 Odense in the Denmark - Süperlig on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Odense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 50%, draw 22%, Odense 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Midtjylland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5
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