Yeoju Sejong 1-2 Siheung Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+8.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
43%
Away Win
54%
-11.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeoju Sejong EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 57%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.77/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.77/0.54
-31% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / +89%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeoju Sejong
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Siheung Citizen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
29.03.2025 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong GK3L
14.07.2024 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 4-1 HT 1-0 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong GK3L
31.03.2024 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong 0-3 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Yeoju Sejong vs Siheung Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siheung Citizen edged past Yeoju Sejong 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Siheung Citizen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Siheung Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Yeoju Sejong and 2.33 for Siheung Citizen.

What was the final score of Yeoju Sejong vs Siheung Citizen?

Yeoju Sejong 1-2 Siheung Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeoju Sejong vs Siheung Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Yeoju Sejong 30%, draw 28%, Siheung Citizen 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siheung Citizen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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