Ulsan Citizen 1-0 Gangneung City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
27%
+11.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
47%
-10.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.0pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangneung City EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.86/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.71
-23% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Gangneung City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
29.03.2025 Gangneung City Gangneung City 2-2 HT 1-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
01.09.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
04.05.2024 Gangneung City Gangneung City 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
08.07.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
25.03.2023 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-2 HT 0-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
16.07.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 3-3 HT 1-2 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Gangneung City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Citizen edged past Gangneung City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ulsan Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 1.17 for Gangneung City.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Gangneung City?

Ulsan Citizen 1-0 Gangneung City in the South Kore - K3 League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Gangneung City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 39%, draw 25%, Gangneung City 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Citizen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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