Changwon City 1-2 Pocheon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Pocheon EU Bookmakers 54%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.79/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.00
-29% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
195 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Pocheon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
29.03.2025 Pocheon Pocheon 1-0 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
27.07.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
13.04.2024 Pocheon Pocheon 1-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
11.11.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
17.06.2023 Pocheon Pocheon 0-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
29.10.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 2-1 HT 1-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Pocheon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pocheon edged past Changwon City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pocheon as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Changwon City and 0.50 for Pocheon.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Pocheon?

Changwon City 1-2 Pocheon in the South Kore - K3 League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Pocheon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pocheon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 26%, draw 30%, Pocheon 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pocheon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pocheon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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