Backa Topola 2-1 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.53/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.36
+37% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.0 Crosses 18.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Backa Topola
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.01 xG 0.85
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
385 Passes 226
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 4-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
28.07.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
03.12.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
03.08.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-3 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
12.11.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
31.07.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-3 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
2-1
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.08 xG 0.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
293 Passes 246
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 7
9 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola squeezed past Radnicki Nis 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Backa Topola had 51% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 49%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.08 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Backa Topola and 0.33 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Radnicki Nis?

Backa Topola 2-1 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 45%, draw 25%, Radnicki Nis 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✓ Over 2.5
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