Mladost Lucani 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 43%
+14% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.25/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.77
+7% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
21.8 Crosses 14.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
2W-0D-3L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.04 xG 1.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
315 Passes 419
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2025 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 3-0 HT 2-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
04.12.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRBK
20.10.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
15.04.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
11.11.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 HT 0-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-1
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
2.18 xG 1.68
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
285 Passes 340
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani and IMT Novi Beograd couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 46% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 54%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.18 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, IMT Novi Beograd led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Mladost Lucani and 1.40 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Mladost Lucani 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated an IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 33%, draw 30%, IMT Novi Beograd 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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