Mladost Lucani 1-2 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Cup, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
2W-0D-1L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.23 xG 1.94
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
300 Passes 396
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
15.04.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
11.11.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 HT 0-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-2
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd nicked a narrow win over Mladost Lucani 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mladost Lucani at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 46% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 54%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mladost Lucani had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mladost Lucani and 0.67 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Mladost Lucani 1-2 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mladost Lucani win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 41%, draw 24%, IMT Novi Beograd 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mladost Lucani), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mladost Lucani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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