Novi Pazar 2-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Cup, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.06 xG 0.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
247 Passes 337
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
11.04.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-1 HT 2-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRBK
26.11.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-4 HT 0-2 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
30.07.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
29.04.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
06.03.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
2-0
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
5 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar got the better of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Novi Pazar found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 44% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 56%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Novi Pazar and 0.67 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Novi Pazar 2-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 34%, draw 26%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRBK More Serbia - Cup
4 Dec 2024
16:00 Mladost Lucani vs IMT Novi Beograd Analysis →
18:00 Napredak Krusevac vs Javor Ivanjica Analysis →
18:00 Vojvodina vs Graficar Analysis →