Novi Pazar 2-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 43%
+20% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.23/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.37
+30% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
17.7 Crosses 22.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.66 xG 1.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
242 Passes 333
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-1 HT 2-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRBK
26.11.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-4 HT 0-2 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
30.07.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
29.04.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
06.03.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
05.09.2022 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-3 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
2-0
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
0.56 xG 0.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
240 Passes 287
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar beat Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Novi Pazar made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 46% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 54%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.56 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Novi Pazar and 0.83 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Novi Pazar 2-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 34%, draw 27%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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