Cukaricki Stankom 1-2 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
1.39/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.91
-28% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.3 Crosses 17.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Backa Topola
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.79 xG 1.08
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 Passes 367
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 2-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
06.04.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-0 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
05.11.2023 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 0-2 HT 0-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
27.04.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
22.10.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-1 HT 1-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
09.07.2022 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 1-4 HT 0-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
1-2
AWAY Backa Topola
1.11 xG 2.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
216 Passes 280
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cukaricki Stankom vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola squeezed past Cukaricki Stankom 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Backa Topola found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cukaricki Stankom had 46% of the ball to Backa Topola's 54%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.11 to 2.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cukaricki Stankom and 1.67 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Cukaricki Stankom vs Backa Topola?

Cukaricki Stankom 1-2 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cukaricki Stankom vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cukaricki Stankom win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cukaricki Stankom 39%, draw 28%, Backa Topola 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) ✗ Under 2.5
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