El Paso Locomotive 2-2 Phoenix Rising — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
1.97
Over 2.5
63%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
47%
-9.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
53%
+9.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.09 xG 1.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 Passes 390
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 4-4 HT 2-1 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
20.07.2024 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 2-0 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
16.06.2024 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-1 HT 1-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
24.09.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-1 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
13.08.2023 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 5-0 HT 2-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
28.08.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 3-1 HT 2-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
POST-MATCH El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Paso Locomotive and Phoenix Rising shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was El Paso Locomotive at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 2.33 for Phoenix Rising.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?

El Paso Locomotive 2-2 Phoenix Rising in the USLKP on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 49%, draw 26%, Phoenix Rising 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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