El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
El Paso Locomotive v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
El Paso Locomotive 4-4 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
El Paso Locomotive and Phoenix Rising traded blows to a 4-4 standstill. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
A gentle 41% lean on El Paso Locomotive didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, El Paso Locomotive had 44% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 56%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.37 to 0.96.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 1.67 for Phoenix Rising.
El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising Result & Final Score
El Paso Locomotive 4 - 4 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 41%, draw 28%, Phoenix Rising 31%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.