El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Paso Locomotive v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
5-0
HT 2-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
3-1
HT 2-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
El Paso Locomotive 4-4 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
El Paso Locomotive and Phoenix Rising shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 44% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 56%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.37 to 0.96.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 1.67 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
El Paso Locomotive 4-4 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 37%, draw 28%, Phoenix Rising 35%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.