Colorado Springs 1-2 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.45 — our 35% vs market 32.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +20%
1.62/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.98
+17% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +85%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
16.6 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Detroit City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.84 xG 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
361 Passes 280
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-2 HT 0-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
28.09.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 0-3 HT 0-2 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
11.09.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-2 HT 0-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
1-2
AWAY Detroit City
1.45 xG 0.38
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
398 Passes 244
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Detroit City edged past Colorado Springs 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Springs at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 60% of the ball to Detroit City's 40%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.45 to 0.38 — on chances, Colorado Springs could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Detroit City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.33 for Detroit City.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Detroit City?

Colorado Springs 1-2 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 47%, draw 27%, Detroit City 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
16 Mar 2025
02:00 Miami FC vs Indy Eleven Analysis →
02:00 North Carolina vs Loudoun United Analysis →
02:30 Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island Analysis →
03:00 FC Tulsa vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Analysis →
03:30 San Antonio vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Analysis →
04:00 El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising Analysis →