FC Tulsa vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
FC Tulsa v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
FC Tulsa vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Tulsa 1-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
We leaned Tampa Bay Rowdies at 50% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 51%.
By the numbers, Tampa Bay Rowdies saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.96 to 0.38.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for FC Tulsa against 3.33 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
FC Tulsa vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Result & Final Score
FC Tulsa 1 - 0 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FC Tulsa vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 24%, draw 26%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), BTTS Yes went the other way.